研究指南

这些指南解释公开信息如何运作,以及如何更负责任地解读。内容用于教育与研究支持,不构成个性化投资建议。

新手?从这里开始 → — A concrete 10–15 minute learning path: what to read in order, what each guide teaches, and a first-week checklist. (观看介绍视频)

也可以收听 Market Brief: Market Brief(Spotify)

为何发布这些指南

财经标题常把复杂申报压成一句看多或看空。我们的指南刻意放慢节奏:定义术语、列出常见错误、示范可重复的阅读顺序。它们不能取代你的判断、税务建议或专业顾问。

本库主题

指南会定期审阅定义与表述是否清楚。数据处理与编辑标准见研究方法页。

新手?从这里开始

A concrete 10–15 minute learning path: what to read in order, what each guide teaches, and a first-week checklist.

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示例研究笔记

虚构公司示例:13F 持仓、Form 4 与预测声明如何回答不同问题。

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预测评分与回测

InsightMeter 如何定义命中率、基准与回测,以及常见误读。

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SEC 申报日历

10-K、10-Q、8-K、13F、Form 4 通常何时出现,以及各自不是什么。

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如何阅读 13F(避免“故事化”误读)

季度机构持仓快照能证明什么、不能证明什么,以及常见误读。

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内部人交易:情境比标题重要

如何区分例行交易与可能更有信息含量的交易,以及时间与身份为何关键。

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如何公平评估预测成绩

Framework plus a worked fictional scoring example: fixed horizon, benchmark, hit rate, and failure modes.

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整合 13F、内部人与预测信号

实务流程:先写问题、对照机构敞口、加入内部人情境、用固定规则评分预测,并记录何种证据会改变你的看法。

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Form 4 内部人代码解析

Deep Form 4 code literacy: P/S/A/M/F plus G, C, D, X, V; role context; tax withholdings; footnotes; checklists.

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13F lag: quarter-end ≠ trade timing

Why 13F dates confuse retail researchers and how to use lagged snapshots without inventing trade signals.

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Schedule 13D vs 13G

Beneficial ownership reports compared: intent, speed, and what they do not tell you about 13F managers.

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10b5-1 plans: what they do and don’t tell you

How pre-arranged trading plans change Form 4 interpretation—and where plan labels still leave gaps.

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Cluster Form 4 buys: signal vs noise

When multiple insiders buy close together, what strengthens the story—and what usually is coincidence.

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Comparing two 13F managers without survivorship bias

A fair checklist for side-by-side manager research that keeps failed names and closed books in view.

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Earnings 8-K checklist for retail researchers

What to extract from an earnings-related 8-K before you trust a headline or a social summary.

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Proxy ownership section in plain English

How to read beneficial ownership tables in DEF 14A without mistaking them for trading signals.

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Why share-count changes beat dollar headlines

Market value moves with price; share counts reveal accumulation or trimming more honestly.

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Building a personal forecast journal

A reusable template to turn media claims into testable sentences before you score them.

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Backtest vs live forecast scoring pitfalls

Where historical filters diverge from live scoring—and how to avoid fooling yourself.

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HK/Asia investors reading U.S. filings

Timezone, ADR, and FX caveats when U.S. EDGAR research meets Asia-based workflows.

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Spotting recycled “smart money” social threads

A checklist for screenshots and viral posts that recycle old 13F or Form 4 lines as fresh tips.

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Form 4 footnotes without a lawyer

How to read plan refs, indirect ownership, multi-trade footnotes, and Form 4/A amendments without turning them into tips.

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13F amendments and late filings

What /A means, why filings arrive late, how to compare versions, and what not to infer from delay.

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Find Form 4, 13F, and 8-K on EDGAR

A repeatable EDGAR search checklist for Form 4, 13F, and 8-K without getting lost in company search noise.

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Form 3 and Form 5: bookends around Form 4

When initial Form 3 and annual/late Form 5 appear, what to extract, and how they fit Section 16 research.

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Falsify a “smart money” thesis in 20 minutes

Write the claim, list what would disprove it (flat 13F shares, 10b5-1 sales, conflicting Form 4 roles, forecast mismatch), then run a short checklist.

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13F “new position” vs “add”: definitions that don’t lie

How to define new vs add without marketing language, share-count vs corporate-action illusions, and multi-quarter context for institutional holdings.

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ADR vs ordinary shares in 13F / Form 4

For Asia-based readers: stop mixing ADR tickers, ordinary share counts, and FX when interpreting US institutional and insider filings.

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Read a forecast scorecard without overclaiming

Evaluate any public forecast track record with fixed horizon, benchmark, sample, and failure modes—education, not a sales pitch.

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Form 144 affiliate / restricted-stock sale notices

Filing literacy: who files Form 144, what it is and is not, how to read it without treating it as a trade signal, checklist and common mistakes.

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Filing watchlist + research binder workflow

Educational workflow for tracking filings, organizing notes, avoiding alert overload, and linking observations to methodology—not trade tips.

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Cross-checking 13F top holdings vs price & liquidity

Educational how-to: compare 13F holdings changes with price windows and liquidity context—worksheet, checklist, pitfalls—not trade signals.

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Form 8-K Item 5.02 leadership changes

Filing literacy for officer/director appointments and departures on Item 5.02: what to capture, what not to invent, checklist and mistakes.

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Form 4、Form 144 与 Rule 10b5-1:何时该权重哪份披露

比较式申报素养:各文件能证明/不能证明什么、时点差异、常见散户误读,以及简单决策框架——非交易贴士。

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13F 季报季之后:散户研究检查清单

实用的季报后流程:先核对什么、如何交叉验证 Form 4/8-K/价格与流动性、什么不是交易讯号,以及日志与证伪步骤。

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如何阅读 Form 13F 信息表(Information Table)

逐栏素养:发行人/类别/CUSIP、市值与股数、SH/PRN、put/call、投资裁量,以及 Sole/Shared/None 表决权——非交易贴士。

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Form 4 表 I 与表 II:非衍生与衍生工具列

教育范例:交易代码 P/S/A/D/M/F 等如何出现在表 I 与表 II——各表证明什么、什么不该脑补。

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13F 对 N-PORT:机构与基金持股披露

教育比较 Form 13F 经理人快照与 Form N-PORT 注册基金投资组合——各自涵盖什么、时点滞后、何时较适用,以及常见误读。

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预测校准:陈述信心有意义吗?

白话说明校准对准确度:可靠性图、信心桶对命中率、样本数提醒、过度自信模式,以及计分卡素养。

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Reading Form 4 line items (and verifying on EDGAR)

Educational walkthrough of Form 3/4/5 transaction lines: codes, open-market filters, footnotes, and how to verify each row on EDGAR—with soft notes on Free teasers vs Pro longer lists + CSV.

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8-K item codes + fundamentals in a research notebook

How to pair Form 8-K item codes with XBRL fundamentals snapshots in an education-first notebook: clocks, coverage honesty, checklists—and soft Free vs Pro history notes.

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How to read Form D offerings & exemptions

Education-first walkthrough of Form D exempt offerings: industry group, federal exemption items such as 506(b)/506(c), amounts sold vs offering size, issuer entity/state, and Verify on EDGAR—with soft Free teaser vs Pro longer list + CSV notes.

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Form D 豁免发行对 Form 144/Rule 144

教育比较:Form D 豁免发行通知与 Form 144/Rule 144 关系人/受限股份出售路径——各自能证明什么、时钟,以及如何在研究笔记中分开车道。

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CIK↔代码查询与 EDGAR 核对(研究笔记)

公司查询(代码↔CIK)、补零 CIK,以及 EDGAR 提交核对链接如何放入以教育为先的研究笔记——并陈 Form 4、8-K、基本面与 Form D,而非贴士文化。

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如何阅读殖利率曲线利差(拒绝贴士文化)

国债曲线利差教育素养——10Y−2Y、10Y−3M、10Y−FF、可选 30Y−5Y——加上曲线形状、衰退讯号提醒、水位对变化,以及研究检查清单。柔和说明 Free 短预览对 Pro 更长历史与 CSV。

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在研究笔记中读 XBRL 基本面同比增长

教育优先解读 XBRL 科目与营收、EPS、利润率的同比增长:财年对历年陷阱、涵盖缺口、同比对环比、搭配 8-K/10-Q/10-K 时钟,以及柔和 Free 对 Pro 历史说明。

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研究方法与编辑准则  ·  常见问题

按主题学习: Form 4/内部人素养 · Form 8-K 与基本面 · Form D/豁免发行 · 13F/机构快照

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